interest rates

Magic Markets #208: Banking on banking

Magic Markets2025-01-23T00:14:53+02:00

The banking industry is part of the fabric of any economy. This is both good and bad, as success in that sector therefore depends on broader economic activity. This has been the problem for most of the South African banking sector options over the past decade, but could that change in 2025? And what are the key metrics to look out for? With reference to key macro points as well as more granular analysis into banks, we talked about topics ranging from the differences between US and South African banks through to sources of revenue like NII and NIR. We also talked about perhaps the most important thing of all for banks: the interest rate cycle.

Magic Markets #208: Banking on bankingMagic Markets2025-01-23T00:14:53+02:00

Magic Markets #201: Trump Trades

Magic Markets2024-11-14T14:23:48+02:00

With the dust barely settled on the US election, Dimitri Zabelin of Pantheon Insights joined us to bring his international geopolitical lens to the show. We talked about the possible impacts of Trump's economy and social policies on inflation, interest rates and the strength of the US economy. We also talked about a few trade ideas related to the Trump victory, as well as the positioning of Elon Musk in all this.

Magic Markets #201: Trump TradesMagic Markets2024-11-14T14:23:48+02:00

Magic Markets Ep188: How to Research Stocks

Magic Markets2024-08-15T09:22:18+02:00

Investing in stocks is exciting, but also dangerous unless you know how to research them. In this episode, we talk through some of the approaches we take to research, ranging from top-down analysis (finding stocks that fit a macro thesis) through to bottoms-up approaches that include valuation multiples and the power of good ol' common sense. Join The Finance Ghost and Mohammed Nalla in this show and benefit from their extensive knowledge of the markets and experience in making investments - including ones that didn't work out!

Magic Markets Ep188: How to Research StocksMagic Markets2024-08-15T09:22:18+02:00

Magic Markets Ep184: Geopolitics, Defense Stocks and Tech Ideas

Magic Markets2024-07-18T03:30:17+02:00

In our quest to bring you global insights into the markets, we are thrilled to welcome Dimitri Zabelin to Magic Markets. As Founder and Geopolitical Strategist at Pantheon Insights, Dimitri has worked for institutions ranging from the World Economic Forum through to IG Group. He has a portfolio of international clients who he advises on geopolitical trends affecting markets, economies and businesses. In this podcast, we touched on US jobs data and what it tells us about consumers, an investment thesis for defense stocks (like Lockheed Martin) and various tech ideas ranging from Big Tech down to the frothy stocks that are a feature of Cathie Wood's world. Take your market knowledge to the next level with Magic Markets.

Magic Markets Ep184: Geopolitics, Defense Stocks and Tech IdeasMagic Markets2024-07-18T03:30:17+02:00

Magic Markets Ep134: Rate Hikes, Banks and Consumers

Magic Markets2023-07-19T18:23:00+02:00

Interest rates have been hiked aggressively globally and its starting to show up in bank's provisions. This week, Mohammed Nalla and The Finance Ghost discuss the current hiking cycle, the impact on banks and consumers and which JSE sectors are giving good guidance at the moment.

Magic Markets Ep134: Rate Hikes, Banks and ConsumersMagic Markets2023-07-19T18:23:00+02:00

Magic Markets Ep85: US Earnings Season – July ’22

Magic Markets2022-07-20T23:24:33+02:00

It’s just the two of us on Episode 85, which gave us a great opportunity to talk about all kinds of things, really. We started off with macroeconomics because there’s just so much going on in that space. Inflation, interest rates and even copper are top of mind for traders and investors alike. This led us into a discussion about banking regulation and how capital is being sucked out of the system by putting higher equity capital requirements on banks like JPMorgan Chase & Co. We talked about capital buffers and the impact they have on risk and returns. We also [...]

Magic Markets Ep85: US Earnings Season – July ’22Magic Markets2022-07-20T23:24:33+02:00

Magic Markets Ep61: The Fed flip-flop

Magic Markets2022-02-03T01:04:57+02:00

Stock-picking is a fun game that we all like to play. Here’s the thing: if you don’t keep an eye on the macro environment, then you don’t know which stream your stock fish are swimming in and how strong the current is. No matter where in the world you invest, your performance will be impacted by the decisions made by the Fed in the US. Make no mistake, the Fed is always topical. In 2022, the Fed is more than just topical; it is dominating the narrative. The yield curve has a material impact on equity performance, especially in the tech [...]

Magic Markets Ep61: The Fed flip-flopMagic Markets2022-02-03T01:04:57+02:00

Magic Markets Ep31: Yield Masterclass

Magic Markets2021-09-07T12:09:59+02:00

Whether you trade bonds or not, the yield curve has an important impact on all the assets in your portfolio. Valuations of shares are significantly impacted by changes in interest rates, driving up- and down-cycles that you don't want to get on the wrong side of, regardless of your stock picking abilities. In Episode 31 of Magic Markets, the hosts kick it up a gear on the technical side, discussing more advanced topics on the yield curve for those who are ready to learn more. The combination of Mohammed Nalla's macro and fixed income insights and The Finance Ghost's experience with [...]

Magic Markets Ep31: Yield MasterclassMagic Markets2021-09-07T12:09:59+02:00

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