Adobe has a market-leading position in creative software suites and document handling tools, giving it an excellent platform to introduce AI enhancements. With extensive R&D in the space, is there growth to show of it? Or has the valuation multiple simply been unrealistic, creating a potential opportunity after substantial underperformance vs. the index in 2024?
Intuit owns software-as-a-service platforms that are a feature of so many small businesses. QuickBooks and MailChimp are common choices for accounting and mailing list solutions, while TurboTax has a huge customer base in the US across personal and business users. There are other businesses like Credit Karma, aimed at personal finance users. These are decent businesses in isolation, but can Intuit find ways to make them more valuable by being together in the same group? Or are they simply paying lip service to synergies and AI enhancements?
Amazon has been a story of a platform business blossoming into profitability after a period of extensive investment. With a formidable moat in both eCommerce and cloud, along with a valuation multiple below major peers, is Amazon becoming one of the better Magnificent 7 opportunities?
Microsoft is the OG when it comes to enterprise computing. As mature as the business is, there are still plenty of growth drivers – especially when it comes to AI, with Microsoft at the forefront of this trend across offerings like OpenAI and Copilot. Even Bing is somehow managing to increase in popularity thanks to AI! Behind all this excitement lies an important reality: the data centre investment cycle is very different to the software-as-a-service predictability that Microsoft investors are accustomed to. Will this impact the valuation over time?
Netflix has everything going its way right now, from hit shows to great financial results. The market loves the story and has signed up for a full season of growth, paying high multiples once more for a company that was thrown to the wayside just a couple of years ago. Can the good times continue, or will the multiple prove to be too hot?
Uber is a verb – but not quite everywhere just yet. There’s a substantial growth runway ahead, both in terms of existing market penetration and new opportunities for products and markets. This creates a strong growth case for Uber, but how much of that is already priced in?
Airbnb has suffered a significant sell-off in the share price, with the market very worried about growth prospects. This is the danger of a platform company trading at high valuation multiples that assume ongoing levels of growth. If you look deeper though, Airbnb is a profitable business that has carved out a strong market position. Are they getting it wrong lately though, with a position that puts hosts above travelers? Or are there other reasons for the slowdown?
Meta is the GOAT when it comes to social media, but this particular goat strayed off the path in 2022 and gave investors serious headaches. After a big scare for both the market and Zuckerberg’s teams, Meta took a more measured approach and got spending back in line. The results since then have been excellent, with a wonderful share price recovery and vastly improved market sentiment. Meta is a dark horse for AI, with most of the initial attention having gone to ChatGPT. Can Zuckerberg’s empire keep up the momentum and become the AI winner over time?
CrowdStrike is a rockstar in the technology world, with great branding and a founder known for his love for motorsport and even his participation. Cybersecurity can be cool it seems, but nobody thought it was cool when CrowdStrike’s update broke Windows machines across America in the past week. With the share price suffering a huge slide in the aftermath, is this a buying opportunity? Or could this be the knock to CrowdStrike’s growth that it cannot afford at this valuation?
In a discussion that started with a reflection on the market moves in the latest quarter and the extent to which Big Tech has driven the indices, Craig Antonie of AnBro Capital Investments and the usual duo of Mohammed Nalla and The Finance Ghost also delved into the BRNDZ portfolio at AnBro and the strategy around investing in the world's most valuable brands. Touching on a number of investment concepts ranging from cycles and balance sheets through to portfolio construction and long-term strategies, this is a highly insightful discussion for any serious investor.
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